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AUD/USD depreciates ahead of the Australian Budget Release

AUD/USD depreciates ahead of the Australian Budget Release

AUD/USD retraces its recent gains on Tuesday ahead of the Yearly Budget Release by the Australian Government due to be published later in the day. Treasurer Jim Chalmers hinted at positive developments suggesting that the upcoming budget could show a faster decline in inflation than the RBA had predicted.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD tests the upper boundary around the level of 1.0800

EUR/USD tests the upper boundary around the level of 1.0800

EUR/USD has recovered its recent gains registered in the previous session, trading around 1.0780 during the Asian session on Tuesday. From a technical perspective, analysis indicates a sideways trend for the pair as it continues to lie within the symmetrical triangle. 

EUR/USD News

Gold loses its bright amid mixed market mood

Gold loses its bright amid mixed market mood

Gold prices retreated sharply on Monday from near $2,350 even though US Treasury yields declined, undermining appetite for the Greenback. Traders brace for a busy economic docket in the United States. The XAU/USD trades around $2,336, down 1% amid a risk-on impulse.

Gold News

Top meme coins post gains following increased social activity amid GameStop pump

Top meme coins post gains following increased social activity amid GameStop pump

Meme coins in the crypto market saw impressive gains on Monday following a recent surge in GameStop stock. The increased attention surrounding these tokens signifies a potential resumption of the meme coin frenzy of March.

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PPI to test the soft landing narrative

PPI to test the soft landing narrative

Investors brace for key U.S. inflation data, which are anticipated to play a crucial role in shaping the outlook for Federal Reserve policy and contributing to the market's cautious stance. Investors are particularly sensitive to this data, given its potential to influence interest rate decisions and broader market sentiment.

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GBP/USD, THE CABLE

The GBP/USD (British Pound/U.S. Dollar) is the abbreviation for the British pound and U.S. dollar currency pair. Also called “the cable”, this cross belongs to the group of Majors. The GBP/USD tends to have a negative correlation with the USD/CHF and a positive correlation to the EUR/USD currency pairs. The Sterling is one of the four most liquid currencies in Forex and one of the reasons is the highly developed capital market. While 60% of the volume of foreign exchange are made via London, the GBP is not the most traded currency but is quite popular due to the good reputation of the UK monetary policy and a high interest rate.

The GBP/USD reached an all time high of 2.4546 in November 1980 and a record low of 1.0339 in September 2022.


GBP/USD FORECAST 2024

Setting out to analyze the GBP/USD price outlook for 2024, there are plenty of unknowns and looming uncertainties that make it difficult to convincingly predict the course of the Pound Sterling against the US Dollar (USD) in the year ahead.

On both sides of the Atlantic, increased odds of a recession, a dovish pivot in the monetary policies and general elections are foreseen as the key factors driving the GBP/USD price action next year, barring any unprecedented geopolitical risks.

Read the GBP/USD Forecast 2024 by Dhwani Mehta.


MOST INFLUENTIAL CURRENCIES FOR GBP/USD

Other currencies relate to the GBP/USD pair and can have influence on it as well: USD, EUR,CAD and YEN. This group also includes the following currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY

MOST INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS FOR GBP/USD

The Bank of England is probably the organization that impacts the most the GBP/USD. It has a wide range of responsibilities, similar to those of most central banks around the world. It acts as the government's bank and the lender of last resort. It issues currency and, most importantly, it oversees monetary policy. Andrew Bailey is the new Governor of the Bank of England since 16 March 2020. Her Majesty the Queen has approved the appointment. He is widely and deeply respected for his leadership managing the financial crisis, developing the new regulatory frameworks, and supporting financial innovation to better serve UK households and businesses.

The US Central bank, the Federal Reserve of the United States, is also closely related to the pair. Inside that institution, the Board of Governors (also known as the Federal Reserve Board) is carefully observed. The board meets several times per year and announces the interest rates. If rates remain unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement, and whether the tone is hawkish, or dovish over future developments of inflation.

The City of London includes a lot of organizations and institutions that might impact the cable, in particular the London Stock Exchange, the third-largest stock exchange in the world. The LSE allows companies to raise money, increase their profile and obtain a market valuation through a variety of routes, thus following the firms throughout the whole IPO process.

The European Central Bank also has influence on the cable due to the importance of business and trade between the UE and the UK. Any assessment of possible scenarios linked to a macroeconomic decision taken by the ECB has impact on the commercial partners of the Eurozone. The Euro is the second reference currency in the world (after the US Dollar) and any move by its central bank, the ECB, has consequences on the assessment of its partners.